Citizen Action Monitor

Tim Garrett – List of titles of 64 climate-related articles either by Garrett or by others about his work

 Garrett authored 42 of the articles, 4 more were transcripts of radio interviews with him, and 18 were articles by others about his research.

No 2403 Posted by fw, December 8, 2018

NOTE — To access my other posts related to Dr. Garrett’s research on a global economic/civilization collapse by the end of this century, click on the Tab in the top left margin, titled Civilization/Economic Collapse ~ Links to All Posts By or About Dr. Tim Garrett’s Research  



Group 1 – 10 articles written by Garrett with my added comments

Note: Two titles appear for each of these 10 articles: the first title is the one I created for my post; the second is Tim Garrett’s title, which will take you directly to the identified website.

Atmospheric scientist makes decisive case why renewables will NOT be our salvation : Tim Garrett sees two “really important” problems with a move into renewables. No 2370 Posted by fw, September 9, 2018 // Are renewables the answer? By Tim Garrett, University of Utah, 2014

No chance of reducing global CO2 levels without incurring collapse of global economy, says Tim Garrett : Yet Canada’s PM Trudeau insists we can grow the economy and protect the environment. Is he wrong? No 2379 Posted by fw, October 10, 2018 // Economic growth and climate change by Tim Garrett, University of Utah, 2016

Tim Garrett explains why civilization is caught in a double-bind, ending with its collapse this century : Perhaps there is a way out but it will not be by way of increasing energy efficiency. Quite the opposite. No 2380 Posted by fw, October 11, 2018 // Rebound, Backfire, and the Jevons Paradox by Tim Garrett, University of Utah, 2014

Long-run global economic growth requires continual energy consumption for its sustenance : The problem with accelerating economic growth over time is that CO2 emissions, spiked by climate change, also accelerate, releasing negative feedbacks on economic growth. Round we go in a vicious cycle. No 2381 Posted by fw, October 12, 2018 // Long-run global economic growth by Tim Garrett, University of Utah, 2014

Sustaining economic growth now means more potentially catastrophic global climate change later : And if we don’t quickly transition from carbon based fuels, we’re looking at a 4°C to 9°C temperature rise within the lifetimes of those born today. No 2382 Posted by fw, October 13, 2018 // Will growth transition to collapse? by Tim Garrett, University of Utah, 2018

Tim Garrett’s 2006 “aha” moment — How economic currency and energy might be fundamentally linked : “… it was clear that the economy was the root cause of rising CO2 concentrations.” No 2383 Posted by fw, October 14, 2018 // About by Tim Garrett, University of Utah, 2016

Tim Garrett responds to 17 questions and criticisms about his research on the consequences of climate change : Question is — Do we have the interest, critical thinking skill, and attention span to understand Garrett’s work? No 2384 Posted by fw, October 15, 2018 // Frequently asked questions (and criticisms) by Tim Garrett, University of Utah, (no date)

The amount of energy our global civilization of 7.5 billion consumes daily is 18,000,000,000,000 Watts : 18 TRILLION! That’s huge. Beyond comprehension. What’s more astonishing is that in just 30 years we’ll double that rate of energy consumption. No 2387 Posted by fw, October 24, 2018 // In Simple Terms, Video talk by Timothy Garrett, Foresight Analysis Nexus, 2017 (4:16-minutes)

Tim Garrett warns — Energy efficiency gains will do the opposite of what economists claim they will do : As energy efficiency increases, civilization grows faster, consumes more resources faster, grows the economy: The bad news — Energy consumption and CO2 emissions accelerate.  No 2393 Posted by fw, November 9, 2018 // Is increasing energy efficiency driving global climate change? by Tim Garrett, Nephologue, September 20, 2018

In an 888-word article, Tim Garrett explains why the global economy must collapse : And if, after reading his article, you had difficulty understanding Garrett’s chain of reasoning, you’re not alone.  No 2394 Posted by fw, November 12, 2018 // The global economy, heat engines, and economic collapse, by Tim Garrett, Nephologue, August 17, 2018

Group 2 – Transcripts of 4 radio interviews with Garrett

Despite his dire future prospects for humanity, in 2010 physicist Tim Garrett was taking things in stride : “We’re along for the ride. And we will see what happens. In the meantime, I guess we’re here to enjoy life while we can.” No 2374 Posted by fw, September 21, 2018 (Radio Ecoshock Interview, 2010/2014 replay)

“For CO2 to decline, the global economy will have to collapse” – An explanation for ordinary folks : “It’s hard to imagine how civilization CANNOT be in dire straights during this century,” says physicist Tim Garrett. No 2375 Posted by fw, September 23, 2018 (Radio Ecoshock Interview, 2010/2014 replay)

It’s inevitable civilization will collapse — The more important question is What will this collapse look like? : Since things are already happening rapidly, we are talking about timescales of the next few decades. No 2376 Posted by fw, September 30, 2018

Tim Garrett — Affect of Arctic Clouds on Climate; Collapse of Civilization; and Picking Tim’s Brain : Transcript of a wide-ranging, 50-minute interview with this atmospheric physicist who says — among other things — solar and wind enable us “to further rape the environment”. No 2392 Posted by fw, November 8, 2018

Group 3 – 8 articles written by others about Garrett’s climate-related writings

How ignorance of the physics of climate science could compromise our very survival : Mainstream media and online environmental sources rarely explain the complicated science of climate change — They keep things simple. No 2369 Posted by fw, September 7, 2018

ALARMING — Only global economic collapse can stabilize rising CO2 emissions, says atmospheric scientist : Equally alarming – Conserving energy spurs economic growth and more energy use. Is global warming unstoppable? No 2372 Posted by fw, September 16, 2018

NO WAY OUT: Civilization caught in a double-bind between global collapse and CO2 levels of 1200 ppm : Absent collapsing the economy, with GDP at zero, emissions can be stabilized only by building the equivalent of one nuke plant per day globally. No 2373 Posted by fw, September 18, 2018

To alter the climate would demand action by a majority of the world’s population : Prof. questions whether humanity can summon the will to voluntarily induce civilization “decay” in the face of daunting obstacles. No 2377 Posted by fw, October 2, 2018

A fellow physicist finds Tim Garrett’s discoveries “surprising”, “impressive”, “insightful”, and “fascinating” : Garrett’s thesis is “elegant”, his hypothesis testable, and it succeeds! Alashis work has been misunderstood by many. No 2378 Posted by fw, October 3, 2018

I’m discovering that Garrett’s “civilization collapse” message is a tough sell, with no takers so far. How come? : Perhaps an answer of sorts can be found in an exchange of comments I had with two other readers on a popular website.  No 2385 Posted by fw, October 17, 2018

Tim Garrett’s thinking prompts science writer to ask: “Is it possible for us to reduce our carbon emissions?” : Writer Hannah Waters acknowledges the formidable challenges ahead, but insists “We cannot just give up.” No 2386 Posted by fw, October 21, 2018

Account of my spat with an editor and climate specialist over Tim Garrett’s controversial research findings : While I actively promote Garrett’s research results, my rival worries Garrett will “immobilize” those seeking solutions.  No 2398 Posted by fw, November 27, 2018



On the thermodynamic origins of economic wealth Nephologue, September 10, 2018

Is macroeconomics a science? Nephologue, August 1, 2018

George Orwell on the metabolism of the industrial world Nephologue, July 28, 2018

Is brain thermodynamics the link between economics and physics? Nephologue, June 18, 2018

On the exponential growth, decay and collapse of civilization Nephologue, June 6, 2018

What’s your Carbon Footprint? Nephologue, May 21 2018

Determinism and the human machine Nephologue, May 14 2018

The EIA forecasts environmental doom? Nephologue, May 9, 2018

EIA energy forecasts also spell economic doom? Nephologue, May 11, 2018

What’s in a name? Nephologue, May 6, 2018

A Power Theory of Value? Nephologue, May 6, 2018



ABOUT Tim Garrett, 2016

On the Physics of Wealth 2014,

A definition of wealth 2014

Energy, innovation, and growth 2014,_innovation_and_growth.html

Inertia and the growth of civilization 2016

Physics based economic forecasting and hindcasting 2014

Does physics succeed where mainstream economic growth models fail? 2014

Is macroeconomics a science? 2014

The global economy as a heat engine 2014

GDP is not Wealth 2014

Is population growth a problem? 2018

What is your carbon footprint? 2018



Long‐run evolution of the global economy: 1. Physical basis by Tim Garrett, Earth’s Future, January 23, 2014

Our Capacity to Discover and Produce Energy Matters Retirement Management Journal 2015

Can we predict long-run economic growth? Retirement Management Journal 2012

Physics and your retirement savings: How energy reserves are like the world’s collective retirement account, by Tim Garrett, Retirement Weekly 2013

How persistent is civilization growth? by Tim Garrett, Climate Change, January 28, 2011

No way out? The double-bind in seeking global prosperity alongside mitigated climate change by T. J. Garrett, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Are there basic physical constraints on future anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide? BY Time Garrett, Climate Change, February 2001 —

Energy Could Hold the Key to Predicting Global Growth by Nick Rockel, Institutional Investor, April 8, 2011

Complexity Theorist 2012


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